Thursday, November 20, 2025

The Price of Dissent: A Pattern of Pressure on Critical Journalists in Gujarat

In Gujarat, the space for unvarnished, critical reporting appears to be shrinking, marked by recurring instances where senior journalists, often those with decades of experience, find themselves navigating an environment of immense political and legal pressure. The reported difficulties faced by Rajkot-based senior journalist Jagdish Mehta are the latest reminder of a pattern previously seen with figures like Prashant Dayal and Dhaval Patel, raising urgent questions about the independence of the media in the state.

The experience of these journalists highlights a consistent playbook: highly critical reportage or political speculation is often met not with a simple rebuttal, but with punitive action, ranging from legal cases to professional hardship, which inevitably creates a chilling effect on the entire media fraternity.

The Case of Jagdish Mehta: The Cost of Public Critique

Senior journalist Jagdish Mehta has established himself as a prominent and vocal political analyst, often using digital platforms to deliver sharp critiques of the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and its policies, particularly concerning farmer issues (such as the Botad crop compensation controversy) and local political dynamics in Saurashtra. While the specific nature of the recent "victimization" you mentioned is not publicly detailed as a formal legal charge, his inclusion in this pattern speaks to the political costs of sustained dissent.

In a state where political messaging is tightly controlled, Mehta’s regular and unsparing analysis—calling out government policy gaps or making significant political predictions—marks him as a high-value target for political discomfort. Operating in such a high-stakes environment means that every critical word carries the inherent risk of a targeted institutional response, reinforcing the perception that critical scrutiny will not be tolerated.

The Sedition Precedent: Dhaval Patel

Perhaps the most potent example of institutional overreach is the case of Dhaval Patel, editor of the Gujarati news portal Face of Nation. In May 2020, during the COVID-19 lockdown, Patel was arrested on charges of sedition (IPC Section 124A) and sections of the Disaster Management Act. His alleged crime was publishing a speculative story suggesting a potential leadership change in the state, specifically speculating that the BJP high command might replace the then-Chief Minister.

The immediate deployment of sedition charges for mere political speculation was widely condemned by media bodies and rights activists, who argued the action was a clear act of intimidation. This response—using severe, non-bailable legal sections against speculative political journalism—sent a powerful message that challenging the political status quo, even theoretically, was an actionable offence in the eyes of the state apparatus. Patel’s case became a dark benchmark for the state’s intolerance for journalistic independence.

Prashant Dayal: Battling the System for Decades

The veteran journalist Prashant Dayal represents the long-standing struggle of investigative reporters in Gujarat. Dayal’s career has been punctuated by run-ins with authority figures, notably his involvement in breaking major investigative stories, including revelations in the Sohrabuddin Sheikh alleged fake encounter case.

His history of professional pressure includes facing sedition charges himself as early as 2008 for critical reporting on a police commissioner. Furthermore, he faced alleged institutional pressure from media managements—who themselves are often closely tied to powerful political or corporate interests—such as an alleged "punishment posting" transfer after he refused to waive his rights under the Majithia wage board award. Dayal’s saga illustrates that the pressure exerted on journalists is not solely through direct state action, but also through economic and professional coercion mediated by powerful owners, making the fight for press freedom a multi-front battle.

The Chilling Effect

The collective experiences of Mehta, Patel, and Dayal form a disturbing narrative. When high-profile journalists—those with significant reach and credibility—are legally challenged or professionally hampered for doing their jobs, it sends a powerful message down the ranks of the media. This process of creating a "chilling effect" encourages self-censorship, where reporters think twice before filing stories on politically sensitive topics, policy failures, or alleged corruption.

The ability of a democratic society to function depends on a fearless Fourth Estate. The perceived vulnerability of senior, ethical journalists in Gujarat suggests that the priority has shifted from facilitating transparency and accountability to managing and suppressing adverse narratives. Without adequate institutional safeguards and a political culture that respects dissent, the future of independent journalism in the state remains precarious, constantly under the shadow of punitive measures.

- Abhijit

20/11/2025

Wednesday, November 19, 2025

The Centurion Mark: Analyzing the Journey of the First 100 Words

One hundred. It’s a number that feels simultaneously immediate and vast. For World of Words, reaching our 100th blog post isn't just a quantitative milestone; it is the culmination of countless hours of research, drafting, editing, and, most importantly, engaging with you, our dedicated readers. Today, we pause the forward momentum not for self-congratulation, but for a deep, analytical look backward—and a sincere expression of gratitude to the community that made this century of content possible.

The Evolution of the Word

When World of Words began, it was fueled by a simple hypothesis: that rigorous analysis of language, literature, and communication trends could find an engaged audience. Over the last 100 posts, that hypothesis has transformed into a proven framework. We’ve collectively mapped the digital terrain of modern dialect, dissected classic literary structures, and explored the psychological impact of rhetoric.

Our journey has shown us that the most resonant content isn't merely informative; it is provocative and granular. We found that posts offering deep dives into niche linguistic phenomena (like the etymology of obscure idioms, or the cognitive dissonance of mixed metaphors) consistently outperformed broader, trend-based pieces. This analytical evolution has been crucial: it reaffirmed our belief that in a world saturated with quick takes, readers crave depth, authority, and meticulous scrutiny. Our commitment moving forward is to maintain this focus on the intellectual high ground, providing analyses that genuinely challenge and inform.

The Engine of Engagement: The Reader

A blog post is a one-way broadcast until the first comment lands. The true analytical revelation of this 100-post run is that the reader interaction is the product. You, the World of Words community, are not just consumers; you are the co-editors, the fact-checkers, and the intellectual sparring partners who shape the final contour of every argument.

We’ve seen lively debates ignite in the comments section—discussions that often illuminated aspects of the topic the original article had missed entirely. The support and constructive criticism we’ve received have acted as an indispensable quality control mechanism, pushing us to refine our methodologies and broaden our source material. This constant feedback loop is the essence of what makes this "World" feel alive. Thank you for your intellectual generosity, for taking the time to not just read, but to respond, challenge, and contribute to the shared discourse.

Lessons Learned and the Path Ahead

Reaching this centurion mark provides us with valuable data points for the next 100 posts. Analytically, we’ve learned three major lessons:

  1. Consistency is Currency: A predictable publishing schedule builds trust and habitual readership.
  2. Visual Literacy Matters: Even in a "World of Words," the strategic use of visual aids (charts, diagrams, and formatting) drastically increases engagement and retention of complex ideas.
  3. The Long-Form is King: The posts requiring the most time and offering the highest density of original analysis are the ones that endure and accumulate readership over time.

Moving forward, we commit to leveraging these insights. You can expect more feature-length analyses, deeper dives into the intersection of technology and communication, and a continued, unwavering dedication to exploring the power and plasticity of language.

Thank you, from the entire team, for walking this path with us. Here’s to the next 100, and the ever-expanding World of Words we build together.

- Abhijit

19/11/2025

Tuesday, November 18, 2025

New Delhi’s Tightrope: Hasina’s Death Sentence and India’s Diplomatic Crossroads

The geopolitical landscape of South Asia was fundamentally reshaped today as Bangladesh’s International Crimes Tribunal sentenced former Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina to death in absentia, convicting her of "crimes against humanity" linked to the violent student uprising that deposed her government in August 2024.

The verdict, delivered amid heightened security in Dhaka, immediately placed New Delhi in a profound diplomatic and strategic bind. With Hasina currently residing in India under protection, the interim government led by Chief Adviser Dr. Muhammad Yunus has formally demanded her extradition, testing the core principles of India-Bangladesh relations just months before Bangladesh’s crucial general elections.

The Verdict and the Crisis of Legitimacy

The International Crimes Tribunal (ICT-BD) found Ms. Hasina guilty on multiple counts, including incitement, ordering killings, and failing to prevent atrocities committed by state forces during the ‘July Uprising.’ Crucially, the trial was conducted in absentia, as Hasina, who fled Bangladesh in the face of mass protests, has been granted safe haven in India.

In a defiant statement, Ms. Hasina dismissed the ruling as a "rigged" and "politically motivated charade" orchestrated by an unelected government determined to eliminate her and effectively outlaw her political organization, the Awami League (AL), which has already been barred from the upcoming February 2026 polls.

The AL's warning of massive unrest in response to the verdict amplifies the volatility, creating a security nightmare for the Yunus administration and raising the specter of cross-border instability for India.

India's Diplomatic Tightrope Walk

India’s Ministry of External Affairs (MEA) responded with a cautiously calibrated statement, noting the verdict and affirming that India "remains committed to the best interests of the people of Bangladesh, including in peace, democracy, inclusion and stability in that country." The measured language is a textbook example of a non-committal diplomatic holding pattern, designed to buy time while avoiding offence to either Dhaka or its own domestic constituency.

However, the extradition demand from the Yunus government turns this careful balancing act into an existential diplomatic crisis for New Delhi.

The Dilemma:

  1. Extradite Hasina: Compliance would honour the 1990 Extradition Treaty between the two nations and potentially ease relations with the new, popular government in Dhaka. However, it would be seen globally as a betrayal of a long-standing strategic ally, damaging India’s credibility in the region and setting a dangerous precedent for future leaders seeking refuge.
  2. Refuse Extradition: Refusal, which is widely anticipated, risks a full-blown diplomatic breakdown with Dhaka. The Yunus government has already signaled that protecting a convicted felon is an "unfriendly gesture." This could endanger ongoing economic and strategic cooperation, including connectivity projects, power supply agreements (like the Adani Power deal), and critical counter-terrorism efforts.

For years, Sheikh Hasina was New Delhi’s most reliable partner. Her tenure was marked by unprecedented cooperation on security, border management, and trade, including the handing over of anti-India insurgents and a crackdown on extremist groups operating out of Bangladeshi soil. Losing this trusted ally is a major strategic blow.

Geopolitical and Security Implications

The crisis transcends bilateral relations; it is a critical test of India’s regional influence against a shifting geopolitical backdrop:

1. The China Factor

The political vacuum and instability in Dhaka offer a window of opportunity for China to deepen its economic and strategic footprint. Unlike New Delhi, Beijing can engage pragmatically with the new power centre in Dhaka without the baggage of prior political alignments. Any significant deterioration in India-Bangladesh ties could push Dhaka further into China’s sphere of influence, directly challenging India’s ‘Act East Policy’ and security concerns in the Bay of Bengal.

2. Internal Security and Refugee Flow

India shares a 4,096 km porous border with Bangladesh. Political unrest and instability in Bangladesh historically lead to cross-border issues, including the illegal movement of people, arms, and drugs. The potential for a refugee influx, particularly concerning the safety of Bangladesh's Hindu minority amid the chaos, remains a significant concern for the northeastern states of India.

3. Anti-India Sentiment

India's consistent and strong support for Hasina’s autocratic rule prior to her ouster has fuelled significant anti-India sentiment among the protesting youth and opposition elements in Bangladesh. By sheltering Hasina, New Delhi risks reinforcing the narrative that it is more interested in its own strategic proxies than in supporting the democratic aspirations of the Bangladeshi people.

The Likely Path Forward

New Delhi's strategy will likely involve calculated delay and non-compliance with the extradition request, while simultaneously initiating constructive dialogue with the Yunus government.

India is expected to leverage diplomatic avenues, arguing that the ICT-BD, established domestically, may not meet international standards of jurisprudence required for an extradition case. It is highly probable that India will grant Hasina extended asylum, at least until the internal political flux in Bangladesh stabilises post-February 2026 elections.

In the near term, India must navigate this highly charged situation by:

  • Prioritizing stability over political loyalty, engaging broadly with all major stakeholders, including the AL leadership in exile and the Yunus government.
  • Securing its borders to prevent any spillover of internal Bangladeshi unrest.
  • Working through multilateral forums to stress the importance of a free, fair, and inclusive election in Bangladesh, tacitly signaling its hope for the Awami League's return to the political arena, even if indirectly.

The verdict on Sheikh Hasina is not merely a legal conclusion; it is a political earthquake whose aftershocks will define the future of the Bay of Bengal region, forcing India to make hard choices that will determine the course of its most crucial bilateral relationship in South Asia.

- Abhijit

18/11/2025

Monday, November 17, 2025

The Dichotomy of Press Freedom in India: A Crisis of Confidence and Safety

National Press Day, celebrated annually on November 16th, commemorates the establishment of the Press Council of India (PCI) and serves as a vital reminder of the press's role as the "Fourth Estate." Yet, as India celebrates this day, a profound question persists: Does the world's largest democracy truly enjoy freedom of the press? The answer, upon close examination, is complex, residing in a precarious balance between strong judicial safeguards and severe, escalating on-ground pressures.

The Constitutional Promise: Article 19(1)(a)

Legally, the freedom of the press in India is robustly defended. Although the Constitution does not explicitly name it, the Supreme Court has repeatedly held that press freedom is implicit and foundational to the "right to freedom of speech and expression" guaranteed to all citizens under Article 19(1)(a). Landmark judgments, such as Romesh Thappar vs. State of Madras (1950) and Sakal Papers Ltd. vs. Union of India (1962), have firmly established the media’s right to publish, circulate, and criticise the government.

This constitutional backing provides the theoretical "oxygen of democracy." However, Article 19(2) simultaneously permits "reasonable restrictions" in the interests of state sovereignty, security, public order, decency, morality, and defamation—a provision that has increasingly become the legal tool used to curb journalistic activity.

The Ground Reality: A Sharp Decline in Global Rankings

External assessments offer a stark contrast to the legal foundation. In the 2024 World Press Freedom Index compiled by Reporters Without Borders (RSF), India was ranked 159 out of 180 countries, placing it in the category of nations where the situation for journalists is considered "very serious" or "difficult." While this was a marginal improvement of two places from the previous year, the overall score indicates a rapid decline in recent years.

This low ranking is a symptom of four major challenges facing the Indian media landscape:

1. Physical and Legal Threats to Journalists

The most immediate and concerning threat is the physical safety of journalists, particularly those reporting on corruption, land mafias, and political wrongdoing at the local level. Reporters Without Borders notes that journalists face "all-out harassment and attack campaigns."

  • Physical Violence and Impunity: Despite legal provisions, violence against media workers often goes unpunished, fostering a climate of fear that encourages self-censorship.
  • Misuse of Colonial-Era Laws: Critics argue that laws like Section 124A (Sedition) of the Indian Penal Code, defamation laws (which are both civil and criminal offences in India), and counter-terrorism acts are increasingly weaponized to silence dissent, label critical journalists as "anti-national," and justify arrests or prolonged detentions, as seen in the targeting of certain independent news organizations.

2. Economic and Political Pressure

The economic context presents an equally potent challenge. Most large media houses are heavily dependent on advertising revenue, a significant portion of which comes from the central and state governments. This financial lever creates an environment where editorial independence is easily compromised.

  • The Rise of "Godi Media": This colloquial term refers to media outlets accused of becoming "mouthpieces of the government," exchanging critical scrutiny for political patronage and favorable advertising contracts.
  • Concentration of Ownership: The media market is increasingly dominated by a few large corporate conglomerates, often with close ties to the ruling political establishment, which further limits pluralism and diversity of opinion.

3. State Control over Digital Space

With rising internet penetration, the digital domain has become a new battleground. The government possesses broad powers to restrict online content and communication, often citing national security or public order.

  • Internet Shutdowns: While the frequency has reduced in recent years, India continues to be one of the leading countries globally for imposing localized internet shutdowns, severely hampering the ability of journalists to report on conflicts and unrest, such as those witnessed in the Northeastern states.
  • The New Regulatory Landscape: Recent legislation, including the Telecommunications Act and the Digital Personal Data Protection Act, introduces new governmental powers that can potentially restrict online communications and content, raising concerns about surveillance and further curbs on digital reporting.

4. The Crisis of Credibility and Polarization

The freedom of the press is also undermined internally by a growing crisis of media credibility. The proliferation of 'fake news' and 'paid news'—where favourable coverage is bought—has eroded public trust. Furthermore, the media, particularly certain 24/7 news channels, has become heavily polarized. This sensationalist, high-decibel political reporting often overshadows fact-based investigative journalism, leaving citizens struggling to distinguish objective reporting from political propaganda.

A Democracy Under Watch

India’s press freedom is not dead, but it is severely endangered. The spirit of National Press Day, which recognizes the press as a watchdog, is currently under severe strain from all sides: physical danger, legal intimidation, economic dependence, and digital restrictions.

The fundamental right exists in the Constitution, but its daily exercise requires immense courage. For press freedom to truly flourish, India needs a revitalized commitment from the judiciary to curb the misuse of draconian laws, a stronger public demand for independent, non-partisan journalism, and an industry-wide resolve to prioritize editorial integrity over corporate or political interests. Until these checks are truly effective, the freedom of the Indian press will remain a vibrant ideal perpetually shadowed by a challenging reality.

- Abhijit

17/11/2025

Sunday, November 16, 2025

Strategy of the Soil: How PM Modi is Re-engineering the Tribal Vote Bank from Dediapada

Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s visit to Dediapada in Gujarat’s tribal-dominated Narmada district, ostensibly to mark the 150th birth anniversary of Bhagwan Birsa Munda (celebrated as Janjatiya Gaurav Divas), was, at its heart, a sophisticated political masterstroke aimed at dismantling the Congress party's age-old dominance over India’s tribal heartland.

The day was meticulously crafted to project a potent blend of cultural recognition, historical correction, and unprecedented development delivery, forming the bedrock of the Bharatiya Janata Party’s (BJP) long-term strategy to consolidate the crucial Scheduled Tribe (ST) vote.

The BJP’s Multi-Pronged Strategy for Tribal Consolidation

The choice of Dediapada - a region once synonymous with deprivation and geographically remote - as the national focal point for the celebration underscored the BJP’s “last-mile delivery” commitment. The strategy employed by the Prime Minister works on three fundamental pillars:

1. Historical and Cultural Ownership: The centerpiece of the visit was the declaration of November 15 as Janjatiya Gaurav Divas. This is a direct attempt to rewrite the historical narrative, asserting that the contributions of tribal freedom fighters were deliberately suppressed after Independence. By publicly honouring icons like Birsa Munda and referring to the Palchitariya massacre, the BJP positions itself as the rightful heir to the tribal legacy, contrasting sharply with the "neglect" of the past. The Prime Minister further forged a personal and religious connection by offering prayers at the Pandori Mata temple and meeting with the Munda family members on stage.

2. Massive Development Delivery (The “Rs 9,700 Cr. Push”): The visit was immediately followed by the inauguration or foundation stone laying for development projects exceeding ₹9,700 crore. This massive outlay is the practical engine of the strategy, showcasing tangible benefits to the community. Key announcements include:

  • PM-JANMAN and DA-JAGUA: Laying the foundation for 100,000 houses under these flagship schemes.
  • Education and Infrastructure: Inauguration of 42 Eklavya Model Residential Schools (EMRS), new roads (748 km), and the flagging off of 250 buses to improve connectivity in 14 tribal districts.
  • Cultural Preservation: Announcing the establishment of the Shri Govind Guru Chair for Tribal Language Promotion, intended to document, study, and preserve indigenous languages and oral traditions - a powerful nod to cultural autonomy and respect.

3. Direct Attack on the Congress Vote Bank Narrative: By linking the party's six decades in power directly to the deprivation of tribal regions, the PM aimed to re-frame the traditional Congress hold as a failure of governance, not just a historical relationship. The core political message is simple: the Congress treated the ST community as a mere vote bank, while the BJP is prioritizing their holistic empowerment.

The PM’s Stinging Attack on Congress

Prime Minister Modi unleashed a sharp critique of the Congress, systematically attacking its governance track record in tribal areas with several pointed remarks:

  • Systemic Neglect and Indifference: The most potent attack was the accusation that the Congress, during its 60-year rule, “left the tribals to their fate” and remained "indifferent" to their suffering. He stated that the lack of health services, malnutrition, poor education, and connectivity became the very "identity" of tribal regions.
  • Rewriting History for "Few Families": The PM charged that the tribal community’s immense contribution and blood sacrifice in the freedom struggle were ignored and erased simply because the Congress was focused on giving credit to "a few families" - a veiled reference to the Nehru-Gandhi dynasty.
  • Sidelining the Tribal Affairs Ministry: He highlighted the BJP's role under former PM Atal Bihari Vajpayee in establishing the separate Ministry of Tribal Affairs. He then accused the subsequent Congress-led government of showing "utter disregard" for the ministry, citing that in 2013, the budget allocation for tribal development was reduced to "just a few thousand rupees," an amount insufficient for even a single district.
  • Spiritual and Historical Disconnect: He claimed that the Congress, despite ruling for six decades, "had no idea how big the community is and that there is a need to do anything" for its development, even though the tribals have associations dating back to the era of Lord Ram.

In essence, the Dediapada rally was not just a celebratory event; it was a calibrated effort to solidify the BJP’s narrative of empowerment and dignity for the tribal community, directly challenging the Congress’s historical claim over this electorally critical segment of the population. The massive projects and the aggressive rhetorical contrast signal the BJP’s determination to turn the Janjatiya Gaurav Divas into a permanent political dividend.

- Abhijit

16/11/2025

Saturday, November 15, 2025

NDA की सुनामी में महागठबंधन डूबा

14 नवंबर 2025 को आए बिहार विधानसभा चुनाव के नतीजों ने एक बार फिर साबित कर दिया कि राजनीति में सिर्फ लहर नहीं, बल्कि सटीक रणनीति और गठबंधन की अटूट एकजुटता ही अंतिम सत्य होती है। राष्ट्रीय जनतांत्रिक गठबंधन (NDA) ने 243 सीटों वाली विधानसभा में 202 सीटों का प्रचंड बहुमत हासिल कर लिया, जो एक अभूतपूर्व 'सुनामी' जैसा था। वहीं, राष्ट्रीय जनता दल (RJD) के नेतृत्व वाला महागठबंधन (MGB) महज 35 सीटों पर सिमट कर रह गया, जो उसकी अब तक की सबसे शर्मनाक हार में से एक है। एनडीए को 46.52% वोट शेयर मिला, जबकि महागठबंधन 37.64% पर अटक गया।

इस विशाल जनादेश के पीछे क्या कारण रहे और विपक्ष ने ऐसी कौन-सी गलतियाँ कीं, जिसने उसे ऐतिहासिक पराजय की खाई में धकेल दिया?

खंड 1: एनडीए की प्रचंड जीत के तीन स्तंभ

एनडीए की सफलता का आधार केवल प्रधानमंत्री नरेंद्र मोदी का करिश्मा या मुख्यमंत्री नीतीश कुमार की छवि नहीं थी, बल्कि यह महीनों की रणनीति, सामाजिक इंजीनियरिंग और एकजुट अभियान का परिणाम था।

1. 'जंगल राज' बनाम 'सुशासन' का सफल नैरेटिव एनडीए ने अपने पूरे अभियान को 'सुशासन' (गुड गवर्नेंस) बनाम 'जंगल राज' की वापसी के इर्द-गिर्द केंद्रित रखा। प्रधानमंत्री मोदी और अन्य वरिष्ठ नेताओं ने लालू-राबड़ी शासनकाल (1990-2005) के दौरान कानून-व्यवस्था की बिगड़ती स्थिति से जुड़ी गहरी आशंकाओं को प्रभावी ढंग से फिर से जीवंत किया। यह 'डराने की रणनीति' उन महत्वपूर्ण मतदाताओं, विशेषकर मध्यम वर्ग और सवर्णों, को लामबंद करने में सफल रही जो स्थिरता और सुरक्षा को प्राथमिकता देते हैं। यह नैरेटिव विकास के वादों के साथ जुड़कर एनडीए की विश्वसनीयता का आधार बना।

2. 'M-E फैक्टर' और महिला मतदाताओं का ऐतिहासिक समर्थन इस चुनाव में एनडीए के लिए सबसे निर्णायक कारक 'M-E' फैक्टर यानी महिला (Mahila) और अत्यंत पिछड़ा वर्ग (EBC) का गठजोड़ साबित हुआ।

  • महिला शक्ति: इस बार महिला मतदाताओं ने पुरुषों की तुलना में अधिक मतदान किया, और यह वर्ग निर्णायक रूप से एनडीए के साथ खड़ा दिखा। नीतीश कुमार द्वारा लागू की गई कल्याणकारी योजनाएं, जैसे 'जीविका दीदी' समूहों पर ध्यान केंद्रित करना, वृद्धों के लिए पेंशन में वृद्धि, और महिलाओं के लिए ₹10,000 की नई योजना, ने महिला मतदाताओं को गहराई से प्रभावित किया। उन्होंने 'सुशासन बाबू' की छवि पर अपना भरोसा जताया।
  • जातिगत संतुलन: नीतीश कुमार ने अपना मजबूत EBC (अत्यंत पिछड़ा वर्ग) आधार बनाए रखा। वहीं, भाजपा ने सवर्ण वोट बैंक को मजबूत किया। चिराग पासवान की लोक जनशक्ति पार्टी (रामविलास) को गठबंधन में शामिल करने से दलितों और पासवान समुदाय के लगभग 6% पारंपरिक वोट बैंक का लाभ एनडीए को मिला।

3. अचूक चुनावी रणनीति और गठबंधन की परिपक्वता 2020 के चुनाव से सबक लेते हुए, इस बार एनडीए ने गठबंधन के भीतर शानदार समन्वय दिखाया।

  • सीट बंटवारा: एनडीए ने बिना किसी बड़ी खींचतान के समय पर सीट बंटवारा (भाजपा और जदयू लगभग 101-101 सीटों पर) करके यह संदेश दिया कि वह चुनाव लड़ने के लिए पूरी तरह से तैयार है।
  • संगठन और बूथ प्रबंधन: भाजपा के नेतृत्व में एनडीए ने जमीनी स्तर पर कार्यकर्ताओं का मनोबल बनाए रखा। हर विधानसभा क्षेत्र में कई बैठकों का आयोजन किया गया, जिसका सीधा असर बेहतर बूथ प्रबंधन और मतदान प्रतिशत बढ़ाने में दिखा।

खंड 2: महागठबंधन की करारी हार: कहाँ हुई चूक?

महागठबंधन की करारी हार के पीछे तो एक, ही दो, बल्कि कई मूलभूत संगठनात्मक और रणनीतिक कमजोरियां थीं जिन्होंने उनके अभियान को ध्वस्त कर दिया।

1. नेतृत्व का संकट और आंतरिक कलह हार का सबसे बड़ा कारण महागठबंधन के घटक दलों के बीच तालमेल और विश्वास का घोर अभाव रहा।

  • मुख्यमंत्री उम्मीदवार पर असमंजस: कांग्रेस के भीतर एक धड़ा कथित तौर पर तेजस्वी यादव को मुख्यमंत्री पद का उम्मीदवार घोषित करने का इच्छुक नहीं था, जिससे नेतृत्व को लेकर अनिश्चितता का संदेश गया। कई कांग्रेस नेताओं ने तेजस्वी पर 'जंगल राज' और भ्रष्टाचार के बोझ का हवाला देते हुए उन्हें सीएम चेहरा बनाने को गलती माना।
  • सीट बंटवारे में देरी: सीटों के बंटवारे में अंतिम समय तक देरी होती रही। इतना ही नहीं, नामांकन की अंतिम तिथि तक कई सीटों पर सहयोगी दलों के बीच 'फ्रेंडली फाइट' की खबरें आती रहीं, जिससे कार्यकर्ताओं में अविश्वास पैदा हुआ और वोट ट्रांसफर बाधित हुआ।

2. बिखरी हुई रणनीति और विश्वसनीयता की कमी महागठबंधन एक 'कॉमन मिनिमम प्रोग्राम' (CMP) या एकीकृत चुनावी रणनीति पेश करने में विफल रहा।

  • बिखरा हुआ संदेश: तेजस्वी यादव केवल 'सरकारी नौकरी' के अपने वादे पर ध्यान केंद्रित करते रहे, जबकि कांग्रेस अपनी अलग 'गारंटियों' पर चल रही थी। यह बिखराव एनडीए के एकजुट संदेश के सामने कमजोर पड़ गया।
  • विश्वसनीयता का अभाव: तेजस्वी ने रोजगार के जो बड़े-बड़े वादे किए, जनता उन पर विश्वास नहीं कर पाई। मतदाताओं को यह भरोसा नहीं हुआ कि विपक्षी गठबंधन सरकार बनाने और काम करने पर केंद्रित है, जिससे उनके चुनावी वादे हवा-हवाई साबित हुए।

3. संगठन की कमजोरी और सीमांचल में झटका महागठबंधन ने बूथ स्तर पर भी एनडीए के मजबूत संगठन का मुकाबला नहीं कर पाया। कई सीटों पर शिकायतें मिलीं कि महागठबंधन के बूथ एजेंट ही गायब रहे, जिससे वोटों की प्रभावी निगरानी नहीं हो सकी। इसके अलावा, पारंपरिक रूप से महागठबंधन का गढ़ माने जाने वाले सीमांचल क्षेत्र में भी उसे बड़ा झटका लगा। रुझानों से स्पष्ट हुआ कि मुस्लिम वोट का एक महत्वपूर्ण हिस्सा एनडीए के खाते में चला गया, जिससे महागठबंधन की सामाजिक समीकरण की नींव कमजोर हुई।

बिहार विधानसभा चुनाव 2025 का परिणाम स्पष्ट करता है कि यह चुनाव केवल विकास बनाम जाति की लड़ाई नहीं थी। यह स्थिरता बनाम अराजकता की आशंकाएकजुट रणनीति बनाम आंतरिक कलह, और सुशासन के वादे बनाम विश्वसनीयता के संकट के बीच लड़ा गया था। एनडीए ने जहां सामाजिक समीकरणों को साधते हुए 'M-E' फैक्टर के दम पर महिला मतदाताओं का भरोसा जीता, वहीं महागठबंधन अपनी आंतरिक लड़ाई, बिखरे हुए नेतृत्व और 'जंगल राज' के साये से बाहर निकलने में विफल रहा। यह जनादेश केवल जीत नहीं है, बल्कि एक स्पष्ट संकेत है कि बिहार की जनता अब स्थिर और समावेशी शासन को प्राथमिकता देती है।

- Abhijit

15/11/2025